CARUS-AR 2025 strategy in case of Crypto bull market

Published on: 14 November 2024

When the market is going up, we will lower risk into Bitcoin, Gold and USD 1.5% of the total value of the portfolio from the best performing ALTS, every time the value of the portfolio goes up with 10% (lowering to 5% later in bull market).

As we discussed in our blog post on November 29, CARUS-AR is a semi-passive strategy. Unlike active trading or correction-hedging approaches, CARUS-AR has focused primarily on market fundamentals.

Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) has reached an all-time high of $90,700—a remarkable milestone for Bitcoin enthusiasts. However, CARUS-AR has underperformed Bitcoin in recent years. As a diversified strategy emphasizing blockchain, DeFi, and Web3, a high Bitcoin dominance of over 60% poses challenges for our approach.

Will history repeat itself, or at least rhyme?

In previous crypto bull markets, Bitcoin's (BTC) price rally has typically preceded that of Ethereum (ETH), with altcoins (ALTS) often surging later and significantly outperforming. CARUS-AR is positioned with this historical trend in mind, currently holding a 70% allocation in altcoins, including:

  • Ethereum (ETH)
  • COSMOS (ATOM)
  • NEAR Protocol (NEAR)
  • Render Network (RNDR)
  • Stacks (STX)
  • Polygon (POL)
  • Optimism (OP)
  • Sei (SEI)
  • Oasis Network (ROSE)
  • Osmosis (OSMO)

Some more context

Nearly a year ago, on December 4, 2023, we outlined CARUS-AR's profit-taking strategy for a crypto bull market, marking our first moves out of altcoins and into Bitcoin (BTC), USD (USDC), and Gold (PAXG).

Today, I'm sharing a table that illustrates our target prices and the rebalancing levels where we plan to shift from altcoins to lower-risk assets.

Please note: This table is for general guidance only and does not guarantee that markets will reach these levels. The rebalancing will be done manually, so adjustments will not be exact. The table aims to provide a basic range of prices and profit targets we are monitoring.

CARUS-AR 2025 strategy in case of Crypto bull market

CLICK to zoom in! CARUS-AR 2025 strategy in case of Crypto bull market

Another ALTSEASON?

Will we see another bull market for altcoins and crypto in general? While no one can predict with certainty, CARUS-AR is positioned to capitalize on a potential bull market for altcoins, aiming to outperform Bitcoin. We have a strategy in place to reduce risk and lock in profits should this anticipated rally occur.

Many thanks to the ICONOMI team and all our copiers—here's to potentially exciting times ahead!

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